CODEX SECOPS ICEBERG
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PRIVATE, LOCAL-ONLY MODEL / 2026

Don’t just chip away at the tip. Melt the whole iceberg.

How much is your SOC really costing you? Model the people, time, and knowledge hidden below the software bill.

Calculate below the surface Modeled values are estimates, not Simbian claims.
Current annual TCO$3Mpeople + software + hidden work
AI-enabled annual TCO$2Mexpected scenario
Annual savings$1Mestimated
Capacity returned17,549 hrs8.4 FTE equivalent
01 / Current environment

Start with the work your team already carries.

Use the defaults as a starting point. You can refine the model as you learn more.

Organization / SOC

Your operating baseline

people
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people
Alert operations

Where minutes disappear

alerts
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Existing stack

The visible bill

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Automation engineering

The work around the tools

playbooks
hrs
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Hiring + knowledge

The deepest layer

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months
hrs
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Advanced assumptionsOpen the model’s fine print
JPY
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years
Investigation laboralerts × investigation rate × minutes ÷ 60 × analyst hourly cost
After-hours operationsinvestigation labor outside-hours slice × coverage premium
Turnover / knowledge lossanalysts × turnover × (transfer hours × hourly cost + annual cost × productivity loss)
ROI(annual benefit − annual AI cost) ÷ annual AI cost × 100
02 / Simbian + AI agent assumptions

Make the assumptions yours.

These are clearly labeled estimates. Replace them with measured results during a PoV.

Primary scenario
No external API calls
Scenario 01

Conservative

Estimated

A measured starting point for early validation.

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Scenario 02

Expected

Estimated

A planning case to pressure-test with measured results.

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Scenario 03

Aggressive

Estimated

An upside case for a mature operating model.

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03 / ROI readout

Replace the work, not just the tool.

AI augmentation is modeled as operational redesign: less repetitive work, more capacity for threat hunting, detection engineering, and response.

Current annual SecOps TCO$3Mbefore augmentation
AI-enabled annual TCO$2Mincluding AI agent cost
Annual savings$1Mmodeled net benefit
3-year savings$4Massuming steady state
ROI415.8%estimated return on AI cost
Payback period2.3 mobased on annual benefit
Analyst hours returned17,549reallocated capacity
Equivalent FTE capacity8.4not headcount reduction
Operational metrics Estimated
Cost / investigation$58 → $37
Human minutes / alert9.1 → 3.7
Investigation coverage0% human → 70% AI-assisted
Work returnedannualized
Playbook maintenance hours avoided259 hrs
After-hours analyst hours avoided828 hrs
Investigated alerts modeled57,600
04 / Cost below the surface

The real cost is people, time, and lost knowledge.

Switch views to see the modeled iceberg melt as repetitive operational work is reduced.

Current annual TCO$3M
Today
WATERLINEVISIBLEOPERATIONAL WORKWORKFORCE + KNOWLEDGE23% of modeled costsoftware • services • licenseshiring • training • turnover • lost context
The part most budgets see.
Current modeled mix

Software procurement usually sees only the top line. The deeper layers are where scarce security capacity gets absorbed.

01

Visible cost $765K

SIEM · SOAR · MDR / MSSP · other software

02

Operational cost $2M

Triage · investigation · escalation · playbooks · night / weekend coverage

03

Workforce + knowledge $231K

Hiring · training · turnover · knowledge transfer · burnout inefficiency

“When analysts leave, their knowledge shouldn’t.”Institutionalize expertise, not individuals.
05 / Operating model

Augment the human layer.

Keep your existing stack in the picture while the work changes shape.

TODAY

Human + SIEM + SOAR + MDR

Analysts move between tools, gather context, maintain playbooks, and carry the knowledge load.

HumanSIEMSOARMDR
work is redesigned
AI-ENABLED

Human + AI agent + existing stack

The agent handles repetitive operational paths while people focus on threat hunting, detection engineering, response, and architecture.

HumanAI agentSecurity stack
90-day validation path

From Estimated ROI to Measured ROI

Calculate the hidden cost. Run Simbian alongside the current environment. Measure actual operational metrics for 90 days. Replace assumptions with observed results, then make the renewal or takeout decision based on measured ROI.

01 Estimate02 Run alongside03 Measure04 Decide

Keep your existing tools running. Compare results using your own environment, alerts, and metrics.